Why New Case Rates Matter
Controlling the rate of mpox transmission is important. The number of daily new cases is an important indicator of the success of controlling mpox transmission through the current public health interventions. We have averaged the daily new cases over the previous 14 days to account for reporting delays.
Data Source*: Harris County Public Health (HCPH), Houston Health Department (HHD)
Formula: The average of the total number of new* cases in the past 14 days, divided by the population of Harris County, multiplied by 100,000
* A new case is a case with a symptom onset date or a specimen collection date within the past 14 days. Due to lab turnaround and the reporting of results to local public health departments, cases may be reported and confirmed more than 14 days after the specimen collection date or the date of symptom onset. As a result, case rates may change over time.
Why New Case Trends Matter
As Harris County monitors day-to-day trends, a 14-day flat trend or decreasing trend in new cases will indicate the spread of the disease is slowing. The closer the trend is to 0, the better indication that the spread is slowing. A positive number indicates the disease is transmitting more quickly than in previous days, 0 indicates constant spread, and a negative number indicates a slow disease transmission.
Data Source*: Harris County Public Health (HCPH), Houston Health Department (HHD)
Formula: The 14-day slope of newly reported cases vs Day
* A newly reported case is a case with a symptom onset date or a specimen collection date within the past 14 days. Due to lab turnaround and the reporting of results to local public health departments, cases may be reported and confirmed more than 14 days after the specimen collection date or the date of symptom onset. As a result, new case trends may change over time.